Increased US involvement in Ukraine could escalate the risk of direct US-Russia conflict, warns experts.
When Joe Biden took office, his foreign policy was centered on domestic priorities such as revitalizing the US middle class, tackling climate change, and competing with China. Russia, however, was not on top of the agenda. Despite this, after Vladimir Putin’s chemical attack on Alexei Navalny and cyber-espionage, Biden’s administration adopted measures aimed at punishing Russia. However, the broader goal was to pursue stability and predictability in the US-Russia relationship.
The ongoing crisis over Ukraine threatens to derail Biden’s foreign policy agenda, with calls in Washington for greater US involvement. Some hawkish voices, including from think tanks, former officials, and media outlets, argue for a tougher stance on Russia, advocating for military involvement to deter further Russian aggression. Yet, such actions risk escalating the situation, potentially leading to direct conflict between the US and Russia.
Biden’s current approach has been one of measured diplomacy, backed by sanctions and support for Ukraine if Russia invades. However, critics argue that this approach is too lenient. While frustration over Russia’s actions is understandable, increasing military aid to Ukraine could backfire, potentially pushing Russia closer to war. As a non-NATO member, Ukraine may not be worth risking a broader conflict for, and diplomacy must remain the primary strategy to avoid a catastrophic escalation.
